FORECASTING OF OPERATION INTERACTION AT CONTAINER YARD
Abstract
The article describes a study on simulation of interaction of the main elements of a container yard. The author suggests considering operation of container handling as an absorbing Markov process. The article contains algorithm and the results of simulation of operations at container yard, recommendations for planning of maintenance works, as well as a scale of assessment of the risks related to delays in container goods dispatch. The contents are deemed to help a manager to determine the real capacity of handling resources, to forecast probable supplementary costs or extraordinary situations.
About the Author
A. C. MakovskyRussian Federation
assistant lecturer at the department of logistics transport systems and technology
References
1. Инструкция по эксплуатации погрузочно-разгрузочных машин. Утверждена 20 августа 2001 г. № ЦММ-20. – М.: Транспорт, 2002. – 144 c. Instruction on operation of loading-and-unloading machines [Instruktsiya po ekspluatatsii pogruzochno-razgruzochnyh mashin]. Adopted on August, 20, 2001. Moscow, Transport publ., 2002. 144 p.
2. Ревюз Д. Цепи Маркова. – М.: РФФИ, 1997. – 432 с. Revuz D. Markov chains [Russian title: Tsepi Markova]. Moscow, RFFI, 1997. 432 p.
3. Шенон Р. Имитационное моделирование систем – Искусство и наука. – М.: Мир, 1978. – 420 с. Shannon, Robert E. SystemsSimulation: TheArt and Science [Russian title: Imitatsionnoe modelirovanie sistem – iskusstvo i nauka]. Moscow, Mir publ., 1978, 420 p.
4. Токаренко Г. С. Методы оценки рисков // Финансовый менеджмент. – 2006. – № 5. – С.129–138. Tokarenko G. S. Risk assessment methods [Metody otsenki riskov]. Finansovyj menedzhment, 2006, № 5, pp. 129–138.
Review
For citations:
Makovsky A.C. FORECASTING OF OPERATION INTERACTION AT CONTAINER YARD. World of Transport and Transportation. 2013;(4):124-129. (In Russ.)