Preview

World of Transport and Transportation

Advanced search

DISTRIBUTION OF DEMAND RELATED RISKS IN ROAD CONCESSIONS IN RUSSIA

Abstract

The analysis of global and Russian experience of concession agreements in the transport sector shows the high dependence of successful projects on efficient allocation of demand risk between a grantor and a project company. The article describes major factors affecting demand risk distribution regarding Russian road concessions, contains conclusions and assumptions of the author on current and future trends related to the studied components of concession projects, particularly on the transition from the projects with real tolling to availability fees.

About the Author

M. Yu. Sokolov
St. Petersburg State University, St. Petersburg, Russia
Russian Federation
Ph.D. (Economics), head of department


References

1. Baeza, Maria A., Vassallo Jose M. Traffic uncertainty in toll motorway concessions in Spain. Transport. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers, Vol.165, May 2012, Issue TR2, pp. 97-105.

2. Delmon, Jeffrey. Project Finance, BOT Projects and Risk. The Hague, Kluwer Law International, 2005, 535 p.

3. Mead, P. Current Trends in Risk Allocation in Construction Projects and Their Implications for Industry Participants. Construction Law Journal, 2007, No. 1, pp.23-45.

4. The Federal Law «On Concession Agreements» of 21.07.2005 № 115-FZ (initial text as of 21.07.2005) [Federal’nyj zakon «O koncessionnyh soglashenijah» ot 21.07.2005 № 115-FZ]. Legislation Bulletin of the Russian Federation, 2005, № 30.

5. The Federal Law «On roads and traffic in the Russian Federation and on Amending Certain Legislative Acts of the Russian Federation» of 08.11.2007 № 257-FZ [Federal’nyj zakon «Ob avtomobil’nyh dorogah i o dorozhnoj dejatel’nosti v Rossijskoj Federacii i o vnesenii izmenenij v otdel’nye zakonodatel’nye akty Rossijskoj Federacii» ot 08.11.2007 № 257-FZ], Legislation Bulletin of the Russian Federation, 2007, № 46.

6. Resolution of the Government of St. Petersburg «On conclusion of the concession agreement concerning highway «Western High-Speed Diameter» in St. Petersburg» of 01.11.2006 № 1344 [Postanovlenie Pravitel’stva Sankt-Peterburga «O zakljuchenii koncessionnogo soglashenija v otnoshenii avtomobil’noj dorogi «Zapadnyj skorostnoj diametr» v Sankt-Peterburge» ot 01.11.2006 № 1344]. Bulletin of St. Petersburg Administration, 2006, Special Issue of 16 .11.2006.

7. Piron, V., Fedotov, A. Forecasting traffic intensity on toll roads [Prognozirovanie intensivnosti dvizhenija na platnyh avtomobil’nyh dorogah]. Transport Rossijskoj Federacii, 2011, Iss. 5 (36), pp. 36-39.

8. Bain, R., Polakovic, L. Traffic Forecasting Risk Study Update 2005: Through Ramp-Up And Beyond. Standard&Poor’s, London, 2005.

9. Phang, S. Y. Transformation of the Urban Rail Sector through PPP. Journeys, LTA Academy, Land Transport Authority, Nov 2009, pp. 23-35.

10. Estache, Antonio, Strong, John. The Rise, the Fall, and the Emerging Recovery of Project Finance in Transport. The World Bank. World Bank Institute Governance, Regulation and Finance. Policy research working paper 2385, July 2000, 31 p .

11. Electronic source: http://www.tunneldufrejus. com/. Last accessed 30.04.2015.

12. Electronic source: http://autotraveler.ru/denmark/#. VhRw2Pntmko. Last accessed 30.04.2015.

13. Morjaretto, Igor. How are the roads built in China: the big jump [Kak stroyat dorogi v Kitae: bolshoy skachok]. Za rulem [electronic source], September, 2, 2014. http://www.zr.ru/content/articles/701776-kakstroyat-dorogi-v-kitae/. Last accessed 30.04.2015.

14. Raskov, N. V. Highway Moscow–St. Petersburg: New competence of managers (case study) [Skorostnaja avtomobil’naja magistral’ Moskva–Sankt-Peterburg: novye kompetencii menedzherov (uchebnyj kejs)]. Bulletin of St. Petersburg State University, Ser. 8. Management, 2011, Iss. 3, pp. 160-181.

15. Electronic source http://fas.gov.ru/fas-in-press/fas-in-press_30719.html. Last accessed 30.04.2015.

16. The Federal Law «On Concession Agreements» of 21.07.2005 № 115-FZ (current edition, as amended) [Federal’nyj zakon «O koncessionnyh soglashenijah» ot 21.07.2005 № 115-FZ]. Legislation Bulletin of the Russian Federation, 2005, № 30.

17. Europeans avoid toll roads [Evropeitsy obezjaut platnye dorogi storonoy]. Electronic source http://www. zr.ru/content/news/444676-jevropejcy_obezzhajut_platnyje_dorogi_storonoj/. Last accessed 30.04.2015.

18. Reshetova, Ekaterina. Constriction of toll roads may miss payback [Stroitelstvo platnyh dorog mozhet ne okupitsya]. Electronic source http://opec.ru/1781647. html. Last accessed 30.04.2015.

19. Kalachihina, Yulia. Toll payment in Europe may become more expensive [Proezd po platnym dorogam Evropy mozhet podorozhat’]. Electronic source http:// www.rbcdaily.ru/world/562949984038029. Last accessed 30.04.2015.

20. Europe’s Recession Ripples Through To Toll Road Network Operators Electronic source http://www. standardandpoors.com/spf/upload/Ratings_ EMEA/2012-11- 9_EuropesRecessionRipples.pdf. Last accessed 30.04.2015.


Review

For citations:


Sokolov M.Yu. DISTRIBUTION OF DEMAND RELATED RISKS IN ROAD CONCESSIONS IN RUSSIA. World of Transport and Transportation. 2015;13(3 (58)):108-121.

Views: 306


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 1992-3252 (Print)