Development of an Approach to Analysing Regional Road Traffic Accident Rates

The article examines the state of road traffic safety (RTS) in the Russian Federation for the 2012-2022 long-term period. The study has identified the main directions in the considered area, described the results of the on-going Safe High-Quality Roads national project, as well as analysed current federal projects, namely, the target indicators of the Road Traffic Safety federal project and the promising ways to achieve them.

To analyse regional road traffic accident rates, a necessity has been revealed to develop an approach based on a Big Data tool for processing large amounts of primary data. It has been also revealed that the available data presented in publicly available statistical databases do not allow us to fully assess the causes that result in road traffic accidents (RTA). Despite this, considering the available resources, namely the data presented in analytical information systems on the balance sheet of departmental organisations, it is possible to assess the RTA rate for an entire region, considering, rates of RTAs without casualties, which are determined by a significantly larger volume of data. In this case, it is possible to carry out detailed specification of the causes and conditions of accidents, which allows for implementation of an integrated approach in the considered area.

In this regard, the main objective of the study is to develop an approach to analysing RTA rates in a region. The main methods for achieving this objective are mathematical and statistical analysis. Public databases, as well as the resources of a specialised automated information management system (AIMS), were used as research materials. The research has resulted in proposing an intelligent method of data analysis, which will subsequently make it possible to more effectively make decisions to increase road traffic safety, including through implementation of control and supervisory activity of the relevant authorities.

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