<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">mirtr</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Мир транспорта</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>World of Transport and Transportation</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1992-3252</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian University of Transport (RUT)</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.30932/1992-3252-2023-21-1-8</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">mirtr-2425</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>УПРАВЛЕНИЕ И ЭКОНОМИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>MANAGEMENT, CONTROL AND ECONOMICS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Имитационная модель управления сбойной ситуацией в аэропорту</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Simulation Model for Airport Disruption Management</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Жуков</surname><given-names>В. Е.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Zhukov</surname><given-names>V. E.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Жуков Василий Егорович - кандидат технических наук, Доцент </p><p>Санкт-Петербург</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Zhukov, Vasily E., Ph.D. (Eng), Associate Professor</p><p>St. Petersburg</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">vasizhukov@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Санкт-Петербургский государственный университет гражданской авиации (СПбГУГА)</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>St. Petersburg State University of Civil Aviation (SPbGUGA)</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2023</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>07</day><month>08</month><year>2023</year></pub-date><volume>21</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>67</fpage><lpage>74</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Жуков В.Е., 2023</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2023</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Жуков В.Е.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Zhukov V.E.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://mirtr.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/2425">https://mirtr.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/2425</self-uri><abstract><p>Обеспечение регулярности выполнения рейсов являет­ся оДной из ключевых заДач авиакомпании. Три главные компоненты эффективного функционирование системы воздушного транспорта - это обеспечение безопасности полётов, обеспечение регулярности и высокое качество оказываемых услуг, то есть сервисная составляющая про­цесса авиаперевозки.</p><p>При этом стоит обратить внимание на тот факт, что регулярность или пунктуальность выполнения рейсов является основой для обеспечения безопасности, ритмич­ное выполнение суточного плана позволяет строго выдер­живать нормы по своевременному техническому обслужи­ванию и профилактическим осмотрам воздушных судов. А рейсы, выполняемые со значительными задержками, сводят на нет все усилия авиаперевозчиков показать вы­сокий уровень сервиса на борту и при обслуживании пасса­жиров в аэропортах. Нарушение регулярности выполнения рейсов приносит авиакомпании убытки и значительный ущерб репутации. Традиционными причинами задержки рейсов являются - неблагоприятные метеоусловия, тех­нические причины, позднее прибытие самолёта. Но у неко­торых российских авиакомпаний периодически нарастает показатель задержек вылетов и прибытия рейсов и по причинам загруженности аэропортов, загруженности зон ожидания аэропортов, сбоев в ритмичности выполнения суточного плана.</p><p>Каждая задержка рейса создаёт сбойную ситуацию. Вопрос управления сбойной ситуацией всегда являлся темой для научных дискуссий и исследований. Цель исследования - разработать модель управления сбойной ситуацией, зада­ча - изучение вариантов решений в виде очереди воздушных судов на вылет и анализ результатов этих решений, где целевой функцией будет минимизация убытков от задержки.</p><p>Для принятия решений предлагается использование имитационной модели условной сбойной ситуации, описанию содержания которой и посвящена эта статья.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Ensuring the regularity of flights is one of the key tasks of the airline. Three main components of effective functioning of the air transport system comprise ensuring flight safety, regularity and high quality of the services provided, that is, the service component of the air transportation process.</p><p>At the same time, it is worth paying attention to the fact that regularity or punctuality of flights is the basis for ensuring safety, the rhythmic implementation of the daily plan allows strictly adhering to the standards for timely maintenance and preventive inspections of aircraft. And flights operated with significant delays nullify all the efforts of air carriers to show a high level of service on board and when servicing passengers at airports. Violation of regularity of flights implies airline's losses and significant reputational damage. The traditional reasons for flight delays are unfavourable weather conditions, technical reasons, late arrival of the aircraft. But the indicator of delays in departures and arrivals of flights of some Russian air companies increases from time to time due to the congestion of airports, the congestion of airport waiting areas, disruptions in the rhythm of the execution of the daily planning.</p><p>Every flight delay creates a disruption. The issue of disruption management has always been a topic for scientific discussions and research. The object of research presented in the article is to study the model of managing an airport disruption, the task was to study options for decision-making in the form of a queue of aircraft for departure and analyse the results of these decisions, where the objective function will be to minimise losses from delay.</p><p>For decision-making, it is proposed to use a simulation model of a conditional disruptive situation.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>авиационный транспорт</kwd><kwd>аэропорт</kwd><kwd>регулярность выполнения рейсов</kwd><kwd>сбойная ситуация</kwd><kwd>убытки авиакомпании</kwd><kwd>имитационная модель</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>air transport</kwd><kwd>airport</kwd><kwd>flight regularity</kwd><kwd>disruption</kwd><kwd>airline losses</kwd><kwd>simulation model</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Наумова Д. А., Методика оценки регулярности полетов авиакомпаний // Научный вестник МГТУ ГА 2012 г. - 4 с. [Электронный ресурс]: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/metodiki-otsenki-regulyarnosti-poletov-aviakompaniy/viewer. Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Naumova, D. A. Methodology for assessing the regularity of airline flights [Metodiki otsenki regulyarnosti poletov aviaakompanii]. Nauchniy vestnikMGTUGA 2012, 4 p. [Electronic resource]: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/metodiki-otsenki-regulyarnosti-poletov-aviakompaniy/viewer. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ionescu, L., Gwiggner, C., Kliewer, N. Data Analysis of Delays in Airline Networks. Development of Business and Information Systems, April 2016, Vol. 58 (2), pp. 119-133. DOI: 10.1007/s12599-015-0391-3. [Электронный ресурс]: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/284725513_Data_Analysis_of_Delays_in_Airline_Networks. Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ionescu, L., Gwiggner, C., Kliewer, N. Data Analysis of Delays in Airline Networks. Development of Business and Information Systems, April 2016, Vol. 58 (2), pp. 119-133. DOI: 10.1007/s12599-015-0391-3. [Electronic resource]: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/284725513_Data_Analysis_of_Delays_in_Airline_Networks. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Santos, B. F., Wormer, M. M. E. C., Achola, Th. A. O., Curran, R. Airline delay management problem with airport capacity constraints and priority decisions. Journal of Air Transport Management, 2017, Vol. 63. [Электронный ре¬сурс]: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/305737266_Airline_delay_management_problem_with_airport_capacity_constraints_and_priority_decisions. Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Santos, B. F., Wormer, M. M. E. C., Achola, Th. A. O., Curran, R. Airline delay management problem with airport capacity constraints and priority decisions. Journal of Air Transport Management, 2017, Vol. 63. [Electronic resource]: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/305737266_Airline_delay_management_problem_with_airport_capacity_constraints_and_priority_decisions. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Bubalo, B. Airport Punctuality, Congestion and Delay: The Scope for Benchmarking. German Airport Performance (GAP) Project c/o Berlin School of Economics and Law, Berlin, Germany, 2011. [Электронный ресурс]: http://www.gapprojekt.de/downloads/gap_papers/airportpunctuality.pdf. Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Bubalo, B. Airport Punctuality, Congestion and Delay: The Scope for Benchmarking. German Airport Performance (GAP) Project c/o Berlin School of Economics and Law, Berlin, Germany, 2011. [Electronic resource]: http://www.gapprojekt.de/downloads/gap_papers/airportpunctuality.pdf. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Hajkoa, J., Badanik, B. Airline on-time performance management. 9th International Conference on Air Transport - INAIR 2020, Challenges of Aviation Development. Transportation Research Procedia, 2020, Vol. 51 (2), pp. 82-97. DOI: 10.1016/j.trpro.2020.11.011. [Электронный ресурс]: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/347360260_Airline_on-time_performance_management. Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Hajkoa, J., Badanik, B. Airline on-time performance management. 9th International Conference on Air Transport - INAIR 2020, Challenges of Aviation Development. Transportation Research Procedia, 2020, Vol. 51 (2), pp. 82-97. DOI: 10.1016/j.trpro.2020.11.011. [Electronic resource]: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/347360260_Airline_on-time_performance_management. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Allan, S. S., Beesley, J. A., Evans, J. E., Gaddy, S. G. Analysis of Delay Causality at Newark International Airport. Lincoln Laboratory Massachusetts Institute of Technology Lexington, Massachusetts, U.S.A., 2001. [Электронный ресурс]: https://archive.ll.mit.edu/mission/aviation/publications/publication-files/ms-papers/Allan_2001_ATM_MS-14812_WW-10283.pdf Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Allan, S. S., Beesley, J. A., Evans, J. E., Gaddy, S. G. Analysis of Delay Causality at Newark International Airport. Lincoln Laboratory Massachusetts Institute of Technology Lexington, Massachusetts, U.S.A., 2001.	[Electronic resource]: https://archive.ll.mit.edu/mission/aviation/publications/publication-files/ms-papers/Allan_2001_ATM_MS-14812_WW-10283.pdf. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Meysam Kazemi Asfe, Majid Jangi Zehi, Mohammad Nabi Shahiki Tash, Noor Mohammad Yaghoubi. Ranking different factors influencing flight delay. Management Science Letters, 2014, Vol. 4 (7), pp. 1397-1400. [Элект¬ронный ресурс]: http://growingscience.com/beta/msl/1579-ranking-different-factors-influencing-flight-delay.html. Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Meysam Kazemi Asfe, Majid Jangi Zehi, Mohammad Nabi Shahiki Tash, Noor Mohammad Yaghoubi. Ranking different factors influencing flight delay. Management Science Letters, 2014, Vol. 4 (7), pp. 1397-1400. [Electronic resource]: http://growingscience.com/beta/msl/1579-ranking-different-factors-influencing-flight-delay.html. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Mueller, E., Chatterji, G. Analysis of Aircraft Arrival and Departure Delay Characteristics. AIAA's Aircraft Technology, Integration, and Operations (ATIO) 2002 Technical Forum, Los Angeles, California, 01-03 October 2002. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2514/6.2002-5866. [Элект¬ронный ресурс]: https://arc.aiaa.org/doi/pdf/10.2514/6.2002-5866. Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Mueller, E., Chatterji, G. Analysis of Aircraft Arrival and Departure Delay Characteristics. AIAA's Aircraft Technology, Integration, and Operations (ATIO) 2002 Technical Forum, Los Angeles, California, 01-03 October 2002.	DOI: https://doi.org/10.2514/6.2002-5866. [Electronic resource]: https://arc.aiaa.org/doi/pdf/10.2514/6.2002-5866. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Shaowu Cheng, Yaping Zhang, Siqi Hao, Ruiwei Liu, Xiao Luo, Qian Luo. Study of Flight Departure Delay and Causal Factor Using Spatial Analysis. Journal of Advanced Transportation, 2019, Volume 2019, Article ID 3525912. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/3525912. [Электронный ресурс]: https://www.hindawi.com/journals/jat/2019/3525912/. Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Shaowu Cheng, Yaping Zhang, Siqi Hao, Ruiwei Liu, Xiao Luo, Qian Luo. Study of Flight Departure Delay and Causal Factor Using Spatial Analysis. Journal of Advanced Trcinspori.aiion, 2019, Vol. 2019, Article ID 3525912. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/3525912. [Electronic resource]: https://www.hindawi.com/journals/jat/2019/3525912/. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit10"><label>10</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Zamkova, M., Prokop, M., Stolrn, R. Factors influencing flight delays of a european airline. Acta universitatis agriculturae et silviculturae mendelianae brunensis, 2017, Vol. 65, No. 5, pp. 1799-1807. DOI: 10.11118/actaun201765051799/. [Электронный ресурс]: http://acta.mendelu.cz/artkey/acu-201705-0037_factors-influencing-flight-delays-of-a-european-airline.php. Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Zamkova, M., Prokop, M., Stolrn, R. Factors influencing flight delays of a european airline. Acta universitatis agriculturae et silviculturae mendelianae brunensis, 2017, Vol. 65, No. 5, pp. 1799-1807. DOI: 10.11118/actaun201765051799/. [Electronic resource]: http://acta.mendelu.cz/artkey/acu-201705-0037_factors-influencing-flight-delays-of-a-european-airline.php. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit11"><label>11</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Vaze, V. Simulating Airport Delays and Implications for Demand Management. December 7, 2009. [Электронный ресурс]: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/265031415_Simulating_Airport_Delays_and_Implications_for_Demand_Management. Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Vaze, V. Simulating Airport Delays and Implications for Demand Management. December 7, 2009. [Electronic resource]: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/265031415_Simulating_Airport_Delays_and_Implications_for_Demand_Management. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit12"><label>12</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Головченко Г. В. Методы ресурсно-временной оптимизации процесса оперативного управления аэро-портом в сбойных ситуациях // Автореферат диссертации на соискание учёной степени кандидата технических наук. - Санкт-Петербург, 2018. [Электронный ресурс]: https://spbguga.ru/files/2018/Dissovet/Golovchenko/Avtoreferat.pdf. Доступ 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Golovchenko, G. V. Methods of resource-time optimization of the process of operational management of the airport in failure situations. Abstract of Ph.D. (Eng) thesis [Metody resursno-vremennoi optimizatsii protsessa operativnogo upravleniya aeroportom v sboinykh situatsiyakh. Avtoreferat dissertatsii na soiskanie uchenoi stepeni kandidata tekhnicheskikh nauk]. St. Petersburg, 2018. [Electronic resource]: https://spbguga.ru/files/2018/Dissovet/Golovchenko/Avtoreferat.pdf. Last accessed 13.01.2023.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
